Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.493886 0.565640 0.643316 0.733540 0.835345 0.946546 1.077095
2025-03-30 0.375215 0.470007 0.581159 0.720667 0.890606 1.090384 1.342502
2025-04-06 0.299804 0.408117 0.544830 0.728970 0.969275 1.270853 1.676440
2025-04-13 0.232995 0.343427 0.492910 0.708052 1.007368 1.406256 1.974699
2025-04-20 0.196207 0.311176 0.477077 0.730623 1.104192 1.629290 2.416721
2025-04-27 0.168669 0.286483 0.466905 0.758333 1.210803 1.878244 2.926023
2025-05-04 0.142335 0.258211 0.446031 0.765727 1.287088 2.091478 3.408855
2025-05-11 0.119883 0.231654 0.422890 0.764927 1.349027 2.288678 3.889013
2025-05-18 0.101782 0.208917 0.401895 0.763560 1.408406 2.486885 4.391339
2025-05-25 0.087705 0.190683 0.385435 0.766823 1.474794 2.702313 4.943548
2025-06-01 0.076719 0.176200 0.373229 0.775377 1.550548 2.940386 5.557569
2025-06-08 0.066001 0.160042 0.354962 0.769246 1.597603 3.131697 6.107632
2025-06-15 0.059023 0.150748 0.349273 0.787683 1.694969 3.426867 6.880643
2025-06-22 0.050814 0.136935 0.331809 0.779318 1.738375 3.625935 7.496218
2025-06-29 0.045366 0.128551 0.324737 0.791866 1.825685 3.918137 8.318622
2025-07-06 0.038579 0.115291 0.304272 0.771624 1.841144 4.069521 8.879951
2025-07-13 0.035444 0.110946 0.304109 0.797661 1.960014 4.442454 9.921696
2025-07-20 0.032901 0.107675 0.306018 0.828809 2.093944 4.859670 11.092992
2025-07-27 0.029574 0.101394 0.299192 0.837569 2.177364 5.177140 12.083644
2025-08-03 0.026281 0.094433 0.289347 0.837186 2.238967 5.452691 13.009128
2025-08-10 0.023380 0.087998 0.279782 0.836021 2.298333 5.728621 13.959916
2025-08-17 0.021007 0.082702 0.272486 0.839783 2.370260 6.039750 15.016649
2025-08-24 0.019083 0.078466 0.267530 0.849229 2.457722 6.395061 16.204758